Flawed forecasting? Why New Zealand ran out of MMR vaccine

Stuff

16 December 2019 - PHARMAC's forecast for how many doses of MMR vaccine would be needed for 2019 was around 150,000. 

To date, somewhere around 350,000 doses have been distributed, with rationing still in place.

PHARMAC's original forecast for 2019 was just 3384 doses above the amount forecast for 2018.

This was despite global cases of measles almost doubling in 2018, well-known vaccination gaps in New Zealand and predictions a measles outbreak was a plane ride away.

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Michael Wonder

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Michael Wonder

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New Zealand , Vaccine , Supply